May 12th, 2010
Morning Star - reversal pattern formed in the cavity. The is named in honor of the planet Mercury, presaging the sunrise as the morning star and the marks the growth of yen. Morning Star - A three-day figure, which consists of you sokogo black body followed by a small body (white or black) to break down and finally, the white solid which is sufficiently strongly shifted into the first black body. This signaling ruet of the transition initiative in the hands of “bulls”.
When beginning to emerge the of the morning star, the market finds Xia in a downtrend, as evidenced by the high black body last trading session. At this point, obviously, the command “honey lead. Then there is a small body, implying that selling Tze lose the ability to move the market even lower. Finally, the TPE Tille, emergence of a large white body demonstrates that the “bulls” have prevailed. A perfect morning star would have tears in front of and settlement le body average candles (stars). However, the second rupture is rare, and its absence does not diminish the significance of the signal.
Returning to 13.13, we see an example of the morning star, formed at the basin in late December. Many of the figures whose light , such as discussed here the morning star, becoming an important mi areas of support or resistance. For example, note that the Dodges, which appears after a big black body in the mid no January - a that implies a turn upward, - formulated matic directly above the area support the morning star. (Interestingly, the other Dodges, which appeared four days earlier, followed by a tall white candle in early January, warned of lower prices.)
Weekly schedule ITALIAN BOND
“Bearish” double of the morning star. In the event of the evening star behind a long white body should be a small body (black or white), followed by a black body, which abrupt changes creases inside the white body of the first session. The third candle is formed confirms top and ends the evening star, states yaschuyu of three candles.
One of the loveliest aspects of the graphs candles - termi nology. For example, previously discussed by the morning star was named in honor of the planet Mercury, which appears in the night sky before sunrise, - the is “bullish” in nature. The Evening Star is named in honor of the planet Venus, which appears to tread tion of the dark, - an association with an obvious “bearish” tone. Ta Thus, the names of shapes candles convey an emotional state tion of the market at a time when the is formed.
Just as the morning star is the support, ve Black Star can become resistance level. As shown in 13.19, the evening star, formed on the week graphic Ke Italian bonds, set ceiling subsequent growth of the market. The apparent failure of the evening star would require the closure of the high point of the upper shadow figures. In this case, to confirm Denia breakdown of resistance to the evening star would require a weekly closing price above the maximum of the evening star.
Windows
Window on the graphs candles - it’s the same thing as the gap on the bar Closed graphs. Thus, the rising window appears, KOG let at least today’s lower shadow is above the high of yesterday, the upper shadow ( 13.20). Falling window appears, KOG da tip of today’s upper shadow is below the minimum of yesterday’s rashney lower shadow ( 13.21). The windows give a wonderful visual signals, as occur in periods when market participants a unified nodushno assess future prospects of price movement.
The windows are the figures to continue, after which the market usually but resumes movement in the direction of the trend, which precedes shaft shape. So, after rising window, which is “to whose” to continue, would have continued prior asc dyaschy trend. Falling window implies a “bearish” motion, because after it resumed the previous downtrend.
The Japanese are talking about the windows: “The correction comes to the window.” In other words, the window, which tend to limit the correction. Thus, in the case of a rising window fall in prices would stop in the window. For the incident would have stopped the growth of the window within the window. 13.22 shows an example of market growth, which loses strength at the level of the previous incident window. Note also that, as this reversal was confirmed by a falling star.
In terms of using windows as indicators of support and resistance should be noted that prices may temporarily drop-
Camping under the lower limit of the rising window or climb above the upper limit of the incident window, before moving back to the on board the windows. For example, note that in 13.23 Sept. tyabrsky least punctured inferior border of the rising window.
In general, the window can be regarded as invalid (in terms of reliability of support or resistance), if the price closes outside the window, but not if prices simply pierce the boundary of the window inside the trading day (or within a week when the weekly chart). For example, if there is a rising window between $ 83 and $ 85, then the market closes below the lower boundary of the window (below $ 83), the uptrend is likely over. And turnover, if there is a drop-box between $ 62 and $ 60 as soon as the “bull” market will close above the upper boundary of the window (above $ 62), descending Officer trend can be considered completed.
CONCLUSION
The Japanese say: “The psychology of market participants, the ratio of supply and demand and the relative strength of buyers and sellers - all from razheno in a candle or a combination of candles.” This was all-in just an introduction to the analysis of graphs of candles. There is much pain neck of shapes, concepts and trading techniques. But even this Bazoev-
INTRODUCTION TO GRAPHICS “candlestick”
howling introduction may give an idea of what new opportunities for analysis of open candles. The most important thing that candle charts provide additional features not available bar graphs, while allowing the trader to use all the same technical Kieu methods that are applied to the bar graphs. Ideally gras fictions candles should be combined with Western methods of analysis graphs.
Afterword (Jack Schwager)
For most of the classic graphic figures are not suitable objects tive precise mathematical definition. That is despite the fact that these figures can be defined mathematically, different people define them very differently. For example, if you asked 10 suffi like experienced programmers to write code that identifies formation to the shaft head and shoulders “, it is quite possible that all 10 semi for substances in resulting programs would have chosen different segments of data within the price series, taking responsibility on their opinion, the definition of this formation.
Greyscale plots of candles, however, differ in their just one - most of them require only one, two or three trading days Notice that, generally speaking, allows for an objective (or nearly so objective tive) mathematical definition. For example, although different people may have a different approach to determining how long should be lower shadow that day was defined as a hammer, inter do different definitions would be a significant degree of similarity. Furthermore, some pieces of candles allowed to exact mathematical cal definition. For example, “bearish” absorption - a black body, which absorbs the white body of the preceding period - can be described by precise mathematical definition. This quality of the figures on the graphs candles means that the effectiveness of these figures based on historical data can be tested by computer. An obvious question is: can we get a profit, automatically opening and closing positions in the event of figures on the graphs of candles?
To answer this question, I turned to Bruce Bebkokku, re daktoru and publisher «Commodity Traders Consumers Report», which has developed a computer program to test the pieces on the boundary fikah candles *.
We used the program Candlestick Professional System Tester, production led by the Commodity Traders Consumers Report, 1731 HOWE Street, Sacramento, CA 95825.
The test, which I asked Bruce to run was simple: whether the strategy of “buy and hold” (”take a short position and hold”), following the occurrence of major figures, showing profit over the next 5-10 days?
The six figures - as in “bull” and a “bearish” form - were tested on the example of the ten markets with the use of data for five years (2010-2010). At the suggestion of Bruce, these figures were also tested with a five-day filter (based on pro simplest oscillator) to ensure that transactions are made in the on board short-term trend. In each case, the result of mul ki subtracted $ 100 to cover slippage and commissions. The results collected in Table. 13.1, were not encouraging. Only ma barking of the tested combinations of shape / market showed at bylnost on five-year data. Profits derived by a few winning trades, was rather small, whereas the maximum current losses on the revaluation of outstanding positions (drawdowns) were too high relative to profits. However, tests using the filter gave the best results. It should quently, taking into consideration the trend - it is at least a step in the right direction.
Just described the test does not prove that the figures on a graph Kach candles have no value, but rather indicates that the interpretation of the figures Simplified candles not profitable. The results of those ists warned against blindly following the signals given by combinations of candles. However, it is likely that a more thorough analysis of the graphs of candles, which takes into account the context in which there are certain shapes (such as candle and clas cal) and the use of capital management strategies could be useful. (These issues are discussed in the new book Neeson «Beyond Candlesticks».) Moreover, since the graphics candle impressions vayut more information than bar graphs, and suggest al ternativnoe visual representation of price data, some tray dery can find schedules spark more natural or useful mi than traditional bar charts. In summary, ska show that every trader should determine are whether graphs Xia spark a useful tool. In this respect, Ana sis combinations candles similar to the classic analysis of the charts - this is more art than science.
Note to tables: * All results include an amendment to the $ 100 tion and fees.
** Penetrating the line, not described in this , is “bullish” variant shapes of dark clouds.